How Much Money Do You Need To Retire?
By Neal@Wealth Pilgrim on Jul 19, 2010 in Retirement Planning Guide, Syndicated
It’s easy to calculate how much money you need to retire .
There is a bit of math involved but you don’t need to pay someone thousands of dollar to create a fancy financial plan that doesn’t make sense. Go through the following steps to do your own calculations:
1. Spending
You can’t possibly know how much you need to retire until you know how much you will spend.
I realize that we’re talking about future spending but you must make an educated estimate of what you’ll be spending.
My suggestion? Use what you spend now and adjust for inflation. Don’t kid yourself into thinking your spending is going to “naturally” decline when you retire. It won’t.
When you retire, you have more time to spend money and you will. You’ll travel more and if nothing else, you’ll just shop out of boredom. That’s what happens (unless you fill your day with activities that don’t cost money like part-time work or volunteering.)
Also, as you get older, you may have to help your kids, grandchildren and you might have added medical expenses.
Most people don’t really know how much they spend but there is an easy way for you to know. A simple method is to average your total bank withdrawals over the last 24 months and keep track of this number. A better way is to use a software package I started using recently called You Need A Budget.
For our example, assume you’ll spend $80,000 a year – as adjusted for inflation. We’re ready for the next step.
2. Estimate Your Retirement Income
When you retire, you’ll have social security and possibly a pension. There are also many overlooked ways to generate income during retirement. How much income will you have?
For our example, let’s assume you’ll have social security and pension income of $30,000.
You can see that this person needs to come up with an extra $50,000 in order to meet her annual income needs.
3. Do the Math
We know that this person will need an extra $50,000. Now we have to figure out how much to invest in order to create that $50,000.
This isn’t difficult to do at all.
Take your $50,000 and divide it by the return you think you’ll earn on your investments. I use 5%.
Using 5% might seem like a high number right now.
Rates are much lower now but it’s not reasonable to expect that rates and returns will remain this low over the remainder of your life. 5% is a reasonable number to use (although I can’t guarantee that will be the case).
So, if we take $50,000 and divide it by 5% – you get $1,000,000. That means you have to have $1,000,000, invest it at 5% (over the long run) in order to earn $50,000.
You now have your target – $1,000,000.
What have you saved so far? How much will it be worth when you retire?
Let’s say your total savings (including your retirement accounts) is worth $300,000 and you need to get to $1,000,000 by the time you retire in 20 years. Of course you’ll need to make smart investments to reach your retirement goals. But let’s not worry about how to invest the money at this point.
You can use any number of financial calculators to determine what that $300,000 will be worth in 20 years. Let’s assume that you determine that the $300,000 will be worth $800,000.
You now know you are $200,000 short.
Again, use any financial calculator to determine how much you’ll need to invest each year, over 20 years with an assumed rate of return, in order to reach your goal of $200,000.
This is not all that complicated if you take it one step at a time and break down the question into smaller questions.
This is an example of a very straight forward case. If your situation is more complex, don’t fret.
Many people have various levels of complexity and are still able to run these calculations.
One issue is when your income changes, you start taking out distributions from your IRA, your cost of living shifts dramatically (you pay off your mortgage) and/or a host of other variables.
One of my favorite clients in Arizona created a spreadsheet that ran 15 different scenarios and I was super impressed. He did this all himself with Excel and you can too.
On the other hand, if you would like some assistance, I’m available. A few months ago I offered to run financial plans for 10 people at a huge discount….I think the price was $297 (down from $800). It was a very successful campaign and while I don’t have the time to do 10 plan, I can offer the same discounted price for the first 3 people who contact me. Here is more information on what you get with your financial plan.
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6 Comment(s)
By Olivia Tremlett on Jul 19, 2010 | Reply
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[Reply]
By pennystocks2gold on Jul 20, 2010 | Reply
I believe it’s entirely possible in most situations to actually spend less than you would normally in retirement.
However sad and depressing that way of life may be..
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Neal@Wealth Pilgrim Reply:
July 20th, 2010 at 11:51 am
Hey Penny…
Not sure it would have to be so dismal. I think — wait…I KNOW that if one plans ahead, retirement could be outrageously great – even with less money. It takes mindfulness…..
What gets people upset is when reality is thrust upon them. Anyway…thanks,
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By Denise on Jul 20, 2010 | Reply
Very interesting. If you haven’t started saving for retirement, you’re behind. Sad but true
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By Mark on Jul 21, 2010 | Reply
Most people have no clue as to whether or not they are on pace for retirement. Very useful tips.
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By carloan calculator on Jul 22, 2010 | Reply
A lot of planing that is. Retirement should be a time we think we can just sit back and relax but due to the consistent financial crisis, it just seemed to be a time of frugality. We may calculate our futures need at this point but I think that still does not guaranty because of the uncertainties around.
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By Financial Samurai on Aug 1, 2010 | Reply
I don’t think 5% is a reasonable rate of return. 4% perhaps.. and most likely 3.5% now. 5%, noway. I’d invest EVERYTHING i have if someone can give me a 5% rate of return!
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Neal@Wealth Pilgrim Reply:
August 2nd, 2010 at 8:19 pm
Sammy,
I agree with you that 5% is tough to get RIGHT NOW. But I’m saying 5% over the next 20 or 30 years. Does that make more sense now?
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